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Writer's pictureCarl

November to Remember - SITREP 11.03.23



Tensions are mounting across the globe as concerning air operations indicate potential major conflict on the horizon. With warplanes buzzing key hotspots and critical airlift assets on the move, something big seems to be brewing in the Middle East and Europe. Meanwhile, a massive influx of immigrants continues to flood into the U.S. interior on charter jets as the border crisis exacerbates. This November may prove to be one to remember if current air activity is any indicator of what's to come. With so many concurrent situations reaching critical mass, vigilance and preparedness are of utmost importance during this volatile time across the world stage.


While at first glance the various air operations seem disconnected, upon deeper analysis some correlations can be found. The heavy airlift activity out of Egypt and Jordan, along with reconnaissance flights near Israel and Gaza, suggest the U.S. is moving assets into the region in preparation for possible escalations. Concerning flights to undisclosed locations out of Europe could indicate troops and equipment being forward deployed to the Russian periphery. Meanwhile, charter jets laden with immigrants flying into U.S. cities reveal a domestic crisis worsening in parallel. The global powder keg seems primed to explode, with the Mediterranean, Eastern Europe, and the U.S. Southwest all requiring close monitoring. As tensions boil over in these interconnected hotspots, a chain reaction of regional conflicts could be on the horizon. The wide-ranging air operations provide a birds-eye view of just how precarious the worldwide situation has become.


Assets Monitored


Aircraft Status:

- 226 total aircraft excluding trainers

- 55 T-38 trainers centered over Texas

- 17 T-2 trainers over Texas and Oklahoma

- 1 B52 bomber airborne from Barksdale AFB in Louisiana

- 24 H60 helicopters in eastern US, many descending/landing

- 6-8 air refuelers heading west over Gulf of Mexico and east off Atlantic coast indicating fighter jet activity


Europe: No aircraft visible over Europe


Key Bases:

- High activity in/out of Fort Sill, Oklahoma but not showing on public boards

- Navy P8 activity out of east coast as expected

- R135 returning from Europe, likely monitoring hostage situation

- C17 headed over Mediterranean near Tripoli and Benghazi

- Coms bird over Baghdad allowing ground troops secure communications

- Weather modification aircraft near Mecca and Medina that could impact weather over Red Sea


Intel Aircraft:

- Heavy activity around Kaliningrad and Romania

- Aircraft off coasts of Libya, Lebanon, and Gaza strip

- Aircraft over Colorado/Arizona border and Georgia focused on domestic intel

- Russian aircraft looping from Iran, along Red Sea, across Egypt and Mediterranean back to Turkey


C17 Transport:

- Nearly 200 C17 flights in last 3 days but none into Israel or Tel Aviv

- Flights to Jordan and Egypt indicating movements in the region

- Activity over Sinai peninsula and Red Sea

- Heavy domestic flights especially into Fort Sill; could be immigrant related


R135 Recon:

- Aircraft near El Paso, TX and Reno, NV likely nuclear sniffing missions

- As expected, deployments to Alaska and across Europe near Russia

- Russian recon near Afghanistan and over Black Sea


NOAA Weather:

- Major storm system moving through Mediterranean with high turbulence


Egypt:

- Watching Rafah border crossing into Gaza

- Old Lorah airport appears abandoned but has nice pool indicating people live there; named "Camp Liberty"


Biggs Army Airfield, TX:

- Rotary deployments from Fort Campbell to Minneapolis on Sun Country and Swift Air

- Likely immigrant transfer flights dispersing people throughout country


Dover AFB, DE:

- Charter immigrant flights arriving from JFK and Cairo, Egypt

- Flights departing to undisclosed locations


Ramstein AB, Germany:

- C130s from Tampa and 747 from Cairo and Kuwait transferring people into Europe


Rzeszow, Poland: Quiet, only 1 C17 coming from Ramstein


Transcom Charters:

- 747s and 767s departing Dover, Banger, Fort Hood, Kuwait City, and Ramstein to undisclosed locations


Tankers:

- 1 headed to Colombia from Honduras, an area we haven't watched lately

- 1 returning to Europe from unknown origin


British Recon:

- Flight out of Reno where US nuclear sniffing was noted; possible foreign espionage


Anchorage, AK: Charter flights to Jacksonville, FL and Cincinnati, OH


Omni Air: Flights from HI to Guam suggest potential Taiwan Strait tensions


Miami Air: Concerning flights from southern border into Chicago dispersing immigrants


Recommend continued monitoring of air assets and troop movements to discern intentions in Mediterranean region. Economic migrant resettlement via charter aircraft requires additional oversight.



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